Match Info

Leumit League - Round 15

Date: 15 December 2025, Monday


	Hapoel Afula		Hapoel Kiryat Yam

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.35	1.82
	3.93	3.56	1.86
	3.9	3.72	1.84	Watch
	4.08	3.36	1.79
	3.75	3.4	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↓ (4.17)	3.48 ↓ (3.52)	1.83 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Afula
23.6%

Draw
26.4%

Hapoel Kiryat Yam
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

25.9%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

25%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Afula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Hapoel Kiryat Yam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Kiryat Yam than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Kiryat Yam Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Kiryat Yam (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Mbombo K. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Mizrahi Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, Hapoel Kiryat Yam is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Afula - the odds 4.17 are the expected chance of winning is 21.84%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Afula FC
Israeli Liga Leumit
05.12.25	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Afula	1:1 ✺
28.11.25	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Ra`anana	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Afula	3:1 ✺
31.10.25	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Afula	0:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.10.25	Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TLLWL
- Hapoel Kiryat Yam
Israeli Liga Leumit
05.12.25	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Bnei Yehuda	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	3:2 ✺
10.11.25	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Jaffa	0:6 ✺
31.10.25	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.10.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLTL

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