Match Info

Ligat ha'Al - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Bloomfield Stadium (Tel-Aviv)

Referee: Bondarev V. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 2


	Hapoel Tel Aviv		Hapoel Haifa

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.25
	1.67	4.05	4.76
	1.81	2.91	5.80	Watch
	1.74	3.65	4.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.96)	3.57 ↑ (3.49)	4.73 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Tel Aviv
54.2%

Draw
26.1%

Hapoel Haifa
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26.4%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

24.7%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Tel Aviv's performance.

Hapoel Haifa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Haifa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Haifa than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Haifa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Haifa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Hapoel Tel Aviv (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tzur A. (C) 16. Leidner D. 5. Mayembo F. 4. Chico 21. Piven S. 15. Alkokin R. 6. Kraev A. 11. Turiel S. 10. Silva X. 98. Falcao 44. Dappa D.	1. Antman N. (C) 14. Nawi R. 25. Diba G. 92. Sana 3. Arbel T. 33. Elkayam S. 55. Sabag N. 18. Biton O. 77. Ndo R. 21. Zikri R. 10. East J.
Substitutes
51. Altman O. 1. Benyamini D. (G) 8. Binyamin R. 27. Buskila M. 7. Korine R. 23. Lemkin A. 75. Loizou L. 3. Morgan Z. 72. Nassar Y.	28. Angulo L. 12. Biton O. 8. Ferber Y. 11. Forat Ayias A. 15. Gonen Y. 9. Hatuel R. 22. Machini B. (G) 4. Malul D. 24. Sardal L.
Coaches
Barda E.	Arel G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Bruno Ramires 🟨,
40', Piven S. 🟨,
45+2', Sana 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Ndo R. ↓, Forat Ayias A. ↑,
57', Silva X. ↓, Buskila M. ↑,
58', 🟨,
66', Zikri R. ↓, Ferber Y. ↑,
66', Piven S. ↓, Lemkin A. ↑,
66', Alkokin R. ↓, Loizou L. ↑,
77', Arbel T. (Pen),
78', Sabag N. ↓, Gonen Y. ↑,
79', Biton O. ↓, Sardal L. ↑,
79', Dappa D. ↓, Altman O. ↑,
79', Turiel S. ↓, Korine R. ↑,
79', East J. ↓, Hatuel R. ↑,
83', Nawi R. 🟨,
84', 1 - 0, Korine R. ⚽, Kraev A. (A),
85', Korine R. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 1.

Hapoel Tel Aviv is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hapoel Haifa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Hapoel Tel Aviv is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Hapoel Tel Aviv: Loizou L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Hapoel Haifa: Belay N. (Inactive) Buganim I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Hapoel Tel Aviv: Korine R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Hapoel Haifa: Biton O. (Inactive) Nawi R. (Injury)

We predict that Hapoel Tel Aviv will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:35. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Tel Aviv
Israeli Ligat haAl
20.09.25	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:6 ✺
15.09.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Beitar Jerusalem	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	2:1 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
16.08.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Tel Aviv	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 WWTWW
- Hapoel Haifa FC
Israeli Ligat haAl
21.09.25	Hapoel Haifa - Maccabi Haifa	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Hapoel Haifa	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Hapoel Haifa - Hapoel Jerusalem	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Haifa	1:0 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
18.08.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Haifa	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli State Cup
16.01.25	Hapoel Haifa - Hapoel Tel Aviv	1:2
Israeli Ligat haAl
31.01.24	Hapoel Haifa - Hapoel Tel Aviv	4:3
02.12.23	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Haifa	0:1
15.04.23	Hapoel Haifa - Hapoel Tel Aviv	1:0
17.12.22	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Haifa	3:3
20.08.22	Hapoel Haifa - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:0
08.01.22	Hapoel Haifa - Hapoel Tel Aviv	0:2

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