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Current Win Probability
Hapoel Tel Aviv 49.1%
Draw 28.3%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
28.1%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
27%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hapoel Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Tel Aviv's performance.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ironi Kiryat Shmona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Tel Aviv that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ironi Kiryat Shmona than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ironi Kiryat Shmona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70%
20%
10%
Hapoel Tel Aviv - Ironi Kiryat Shmona Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Ironi Kiryat Shmona will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hapoel Tel Aviv: 35.9% โ 97.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Tzur A. (G) 21. Piven S. 5. Mayembo F. (C) 4. Chico 72. Nassar Y. 6. Kraev A. 8. Binyamin R. 98. Falcao 26. Rotman L. 44. Dappa D. 23. Lemkin A.
19. Tenenbaum D. (G) 20. Darwish O. 26. Ljubisavljevic N. 32. David S. 91. Shaheen B. 4. Bangoura S. 7. Mordechai Y. (C) 70. Martinez C. 11. Limbombe A. 9. Ugarriza A. 87. Abu Rumi M.
Substitutes
15. Alkokin R. 18. Archel T. 1. Benyamini D. (G) 17. Cohen A. 14. Kancepolsky E. Y. 16. Leidner D. 19. Mahamid A. 3. Morgan Z. 11. Turiel S.
12. Al Halabi J. 21. Avraham A. 6. Benbenishti O. 14. Goldenberg H. 29. Malka Y. 15. Sheretsky A. 18. Shnaper O. 28. Vaier I. 1. Zalmanovich M. (G)
Coaches
Barda E.
Barda S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Binyamin R. 🟨,
23', Dappa D. 🟨,
23', Martinez C. 🟨,
45+1', Nassar Y. 🟨,
45+4', Mordechai Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Abu Rumi M. ⚽, Ugarriza A. (A),
56', Ljubisavljevic N. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Dappa D. (Pen),
59', Chico ↓, Leidner D. ↑,
59', Rotman L. ↓, Turiel S. ↑,
61', Ugarriza A. 🟨,
71', Mordechai Y. ↓, Sheretsky A. ↑,
72', Lemkin A. ↓, Alkokin R. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Turiel S. ⚽, Alkokin R. (A),
79', Limbombe A. ↓, Al Halabi J. ↑,
79', Abu Rumi M. ↓, Avraham A. ↑,
80', Binyamin R. ↓, Cohen A. ↑,
80', Dappa D. ↓, Mahamid A. ↑,
83', Shaheen B. ↓, Goldenberg H. ↑,
89', Mahamid A. 🟨,
90+1', Falcao 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 3.
Hapoel Tel Aviv is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ironi Kiryat Shmona's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Hapoel Tel Aviv is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Ironi Kiryat Shmona: Dadia O.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
Israel
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Tzur A. (G) 
Mayembo F. (C) 
Chico 
Kraev A. 
Ljubisavljevic N. 
Bangoura S. 
Martinez C. 
Limbombe A. 
Ugarriza A. 
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