Match Info

Ligat ha'Al - Round 23

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: Bloomfield Stadium (Tel-Aviv)

Referee: Levi S. (Isr)


	Hapoel Tel Aviv		Hapoel Jerusalem

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.5	5.75	Watch
	1.52	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.52	4.01	6.57
	1.51	4.22	6.11	Watch
	1.55	3.77	6.28	Watch
	1.46	4	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	3.9 ↓ (4.01)	6.09 ↑ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Tel Aviv
61.2%

Draw
23.7%

Hapoel Jerusalem
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

23.1%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

22.6%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Hapoel Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Jerusalem Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - Hapoel Jerusalem (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv (votes: 1 - 50%). Hapoel Jerusalem (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tzur A. (G) 97. Coco M. 18. Archel T. 4. Chico 16. Leidner D. (C) 6. Kraev A. 98. Falcao 75. Loizou L. 11. Turiel S. 23. Lemkin A. 51. Altman O.	55. Zamir N. (G) 16. Agvadish O. (C) 4. Laish Y. 66. Domgjoni D. 26. Shalom H. 77. Almagor O. 13. Otomewo J. 22. Haimovich T. 19. Vrasana N. 9. Rakonjac M. 25. Idoko A.
Substitutes
15. Alkoukin R. 33. Amos G. (G) 9. Boateng E. 44. Dappa D. 14. Kancepolsky E. Y. 7. Korine R. 3. Morgan Z. 21. Piven S. 10. Silva X.	24. Badash G. 27. Diab M. 17. Distelfeld Y. A. 28. Gordin Anbary B. (G) 8. Madmon I. 3. Malmud N. 20. Nadir O. 30. Ransom I. 10. Sotiriou R.
Coaches
Barda E.	Arie Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', Vrasana N. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Turiel S. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 2 - 0, Turiel S. ⚽, Kraev A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vrasana N. ↓, Sotiriou R. ↑,
46', Almagor O. ↓, Badash G. ↑,
53', Shalom H. 🟨,
63', Idoko A. 🟨,
63', Leidner D. ↓, Silva X. ↑,
64', Turiel S. ↓, Korine R. ↑,
69', Altman O. ↓, Boateng E. ↑,
69', Shalom H. ↓, Nadir O. ↑,
70', Domgjoni D. ↓, Distelfeld Y. A. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Rakonjac M. ⚽,
76', Silva X. 🟨,
80', Chico 🟨,
83', Idoko A. ↓, Ransom I. ↑,
88', 3 - 1, Boateng E. ⚽, Loizou L. (A),
90', Loizou L. ↓, Dappa D. ↑,
90', Kraev A. ↓, Alkoukin R. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: )).

Hapoel Tel Aviv is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 1.

Hapoel Tel Aviv is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hapoel Jerusalem has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Hapoel Tel Aviv is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Hapoel Tel Aviv: Benyamini D. (Inactive) Buskila M. (Inactive) Mayembo F. (Inactive)

There will not play in Hapoel Jerusalem: Eshata A. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Hapoel Jerusalem: Baye O. (Inactive)

We predict that Hapoel Tel Aviv will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hapoel Tel Aviv	6	4	1	1	14:5	9	13
7	Hapoel Jerusalem	5	2	1	2	12:12	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Tel Aviv
Israeli Ligat haAl
07.02.26	Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Tel Aviv	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Netanya	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Tel Aviv	1:2 ✺
19.01.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
14.01.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWWL
- Hapoel Jerusalem
Israeli Ligat haAl
07.02.26	Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Haifa	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Hapoel Jerusalem	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Petah Tikva	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Hapoel Jerusalem - Ironi Tiberias	2:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
13.01.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Jerusalem	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
08.11.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv	0:0
Israeli Toto Cup
29.07.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Jerusalem	3:0
Israeli Ligat haAl
01.04.24	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:0
09.03.24	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Jerusalem	0:0
Israeli State Cup
27.01.24	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:0 ET
Israeli Ligat haAl
26.12.23	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:1
Israeli Toto Cup
29.07.23	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv	1:1

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