Match Info

ISRAEL: Leumit League - Round 29

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday


	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm		Bnei Yehuda

	1	X	2
	5	3.7	1.55
	5.2	3.75	1.57
	5.39	3.8	1.62	Watch
	5.32	3.7	1.56
	5.2	3.75	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.22 ↑ (4.3)	3.74 ↑ (3.5)	1.57 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
17.5%

Draw
24.4%

Bnei Yehuda
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.6%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

26.1%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Bnei Yehuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bnei Yehuda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bnei Yehuda than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bnei Yehuda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hapoel Umm al Fahm - Bnei Yehuda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Golan I. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: )).

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is Leumit League (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 1.

Recent matches Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bnei Yehuda is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Bnei Yehuda is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:23 (average 1.1:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:14 (average 1.2:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli Liga Leumit
14.03.25	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:2 ✺
07.03.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Jaffa	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Herzliya	2:1 ✺
17.02.25	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTLWL
- Bnei Yehuda
Israeli Liga Leumit
14.03.25	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:0 ✺
10.03.25	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Bnei Yehuda	0:2 ✺
28.02.25	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Ra`anana	0:1 ✺
24.02.25	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Bnei Yehuda	0:2 ✺
17.02.25	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
06.12.24	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:0
24.05.24	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Bnei Yehuda	1:6
06.02.24	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3:1
21.09.23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Bnei Yehuda	1:2
03.04.23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Bnei Yehuda	2:1
20.01.23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Bnei Yehuda	0:1
21.09.22	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:1

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