Match Info

ISRAEL: Leumit League - Round 27

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday


	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm		Maccabi Jaffa

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.83
	3.75	3.5	1.84
	3.72	3.5	1.87
	3.91	3.59	1.88	Watch
	3.77	3.48	1.83
	3.75	3.5	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (2.54)	3.5 ↑ (3.31)	1.85 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
24.4%

Draw
26.2%

Maccabi Jaffa
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

27.5%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

27.2%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's form might have worsened.

Maccabi Jaffa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maccabi Jaffa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Jaffa than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Jaffa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Hapoel Umm al Fahm - Maccabi Jaffa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maccabi Jaffa will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is Leumit League (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 1.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Maccabi Jaffa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maccabi Jaffa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli Liga Leumit
28.02.25	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Herzliya	2:1 ✺
17.02.25	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:0 ✺
07.02.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Kafr Qasim	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLLL
- Maccabi Jaffa
Israeli Liga Leumit
28.02.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	3:2 ✺
21.02.25	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Maccabi Jaffa	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Ra`anana	0:0 ✺
07.02.25	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Maccabi Jaffa	1:0 ✺
04.02.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Petah Tikva	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
01.11.24	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3:1
03.05.24	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:3
04.03.24	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:0
27.11.23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Jaffa	1:1
10.04.23	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:1
13.01.23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Jaffa	1:0
12.09.22	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:1

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