Match Info

ISRAEL: Leumit League - Round 13

Date: 11 November 2024, Monday


	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm		Hapoel Afula

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.25
	2.75	3.25	2.33
	2.87	3.33	2.37
	2.87	3.38	2.37	Watch
	2.77	3.32	2.29
	2.75	3.25	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.6)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)	2.32 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
32.8%

Draw
27.8%

Hapoel Afula
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

27.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

27.5%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Hapoel Afula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	66.7%	22.2%

Hapoel Umm al Fahm - Hapoel Afula Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hapoel Umm al-Fahm will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Hapoel Afula will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+2', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli Liga Leumit
01.11.24	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3:1 ✺
29.10.24	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:1 ✺
25.10.24	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:2 ✺
18.10.24	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Acre	1:2 ✺
13.10.24	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWTLT
- Hapoel Afula FC
Israeli Liga Leumit
04.11.24	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:3 ✺
29.10.24	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Afula	1:1 ✺
25.10.24	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Ra`anana	0:4 ✺
18.10.24	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Hapoel Afula	3:1 ✺
13.10.24	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Petah Tikva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
16.02.24	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:1
05.10.23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Afula	1:1
26.12.22	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Afula	1:1
18.08.22	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:0
18.03.22	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Afula	1:3
13.12.21	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3:2
09.04.21	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	0:2

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