Match Info

Leumit League - Relegation Group - Round 32

Date: 14 April 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 STARS Israel


	Maccabi Jaffa		Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	3.75
	1.75	3.5	4.1
	1.8	3.68	4.18	Watch
	1.75	3.68	4.41
	1.75	3.5	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.27)	3.53 ↑ (3.2)	4.11 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Jaffa
51.8%

Draw
25.9%

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

27.9%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Jaffa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maccabi Jaffa's performance.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Jaffa than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maccabi Jaffa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Umm al-Fahm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Umm al Fahm Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Maccabi Jaffa will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maccabi Jaffa: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Maman M. (Pen),
90+5', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maccabi Jaffa won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Maccabi Jaffa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Maccabi Jaffa won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Maccabi Jaffa won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1.7:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Jaffa
Israeli Liga Leumit
04.04.25	Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Jaffa	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Acre	3:2 ✺
24.03.25	Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Jaffa	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Tel Aviv	0:3 ✺
07.03.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Jaffa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWTLT
- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli Liga Leumit
04.04.25	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3:3 ✺
28.03.25	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3:1 ✺
21.03.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Bnei Yehuda	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:2 ✺
07.03.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Jaffa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
07.03.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Jaffa	0:0
01.11.24	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3:1
03.05.24	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:3
04.03.24	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:0
27.11.23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Jaffa	1:1
10.04.23	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:1
13.01.23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Jaffa	1:0

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