Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 12

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Harras El Hodood Stadium (Alexandria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Haras El-Hodood		Petrojet

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.38	3	2.98	Watch
	2.49	3.08	3.25
	2.43	2.91	3.18	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.34	2.89	3.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.96)	2.96 ↑ (2.57)	3.12 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haras El-Hodood
38.8%

Draw
31.4%

Petrojet
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

36.1%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

36.5%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haras El-Hodood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Haras El-Hodood's performance.

Petrojet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Haras El-Hodood that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrojet than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Haras El Hodood - Petrojet Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Haras El-Hodood will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Seha A. (G) 17. El Deghemy M. 5. Abdelhakim I. 2. Abdelghani M. 3. El Badry M. 74. Mahmoud Sayed Okaa 12. Bayoumi M. 6. Magli M. 25. Ashraf I. 11. Mostafa M. (C) 90. Nayel A.	1. Salah O. (G) 4. Kenawi M. 25. Haggag B. 15. Bahbah A. 3. Abdallah I. 17. Hamed A. 19. El Badry M. 11. Ibrahim M. 14. El Gamal M. (C) 9. Moussa B. 10. Chukwudi G.
Substitutes
19. Al-Dawoud I. 24. Awad M. 32. Kamel A. 8. Marie Y. 55. Mohamed H. 1. Ragab A. (G) 44. Sabra Y. 72. Tarek Z.	20. Ahmed R. 13. Bah A. 39. Diabate A. 2. Ghoneim A. 7. Hamdy A. 77. Khalifa M. (G) 99. Mohamed S. 40. Sonko S. 29. Yassin A.
Coaches
Shaaban H.	Eid S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Abdallah I. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Moussa B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 3, Ibrahim M. ⚽,
59', El Deghemy M. 🟨,
59', Mostafa M. ↓, Kamel A. ↑,
59', El Deghemy M. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
71', El Gamal M. ↓, Ahmed R. ↑,
71', Ibrahim M. ↓, Hamdy A. ↑,
73', Ashraf I. ↓, Al-Dawoud I. ↑,
80', Bayoumi M. ↓, Mohamed H. ↑,
80', El Badry M. ↓, Raafat M. ↑,
88', Hamdy A. 🟨,
90', Chukwudi G. ↓, Sonko S. ↑,
90', Abdallah I. ↓, Ghoneim A. ↑,
90+3', Moussa B. ↓, Yassin A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haras El-Hodood won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Haras El-Hodood won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Haras El-Hodood won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Petrojet	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haras El-Hodood
Egyptian Premier League
18.05.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Haras El-Hodood	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Haras El-Hodood - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:0 ✺
07.05.26	Haras El-Hodood - ZED	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Haras El-Hodood - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:0 ✺
29.04.26	El Gouna - Haras El-Hodood	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WTLTT
- Petrojet FC
Egyptian Premier League
17.05.26	Petrojet - Modern Sport	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	National Bank of Egypt - Petrojet	2:3 ✺
08.05.26	Petrojet - Wadi Degla	2:2 ✺
04.05.26	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Petrojet	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Petrojet - Ismaily	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
23.11.25	Petrojet - Haras El-Hodood	3:1
11.03.25	Haras El-Hodood - Petrojet	1:2
21.02.25	Petrojet - Haras El-Hodood	2:2
Egyptian Division 2 A
12.02.24	Petrojet - Haras El-Hodood	1:1
10.01.24	Petrojet - Haras El-Hodood	4:0
Egyptian Cup
07.12.19	Haras El-Hodood - Petrojet	1:0
Egyptian Premier League
15.02.19	Haras El-Hodood - Petrojet	2:2

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