The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Gouna 41%
Draw 34.4%
Haras El-Hodood 24.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46%
32.6%
21.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
31.6%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Haras El-Hodood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Gouna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
El Gouna - Haras El Hodood Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. El Gouna will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for El Gouna: 35.9% โ 97.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Masoud A. (G) 20. Belia A. 36. Turay A. 4. Abdel Rasoul Ahmed 3. Khaled A. 24. El Zahdi A. 6. Ibrahim H. 14. El Sayed N. (C) 11. Mohamed S. E. D. A. 9. Mohsen M. 25. El Said A.
18. El Zanfaly M. (G) 17. El Deghemy M. 24. Awad M. (C) 5. Abdelhakim I. 12. Bayoumi M. 6. Magli M. 22. Saviola O. 27. Cooper I. 74. Mahmoud Sayed Okaa 99. Hamdi M. 72. Tarek Z.
Substitutes
22. El Nahas M. 5. El Shimi S. 30. Emad M. 90. Karim A. 10. Mahmoud M. 28. Metawea M. 7. Refaat A. 16. Shahin H. (G) 2. Taalab A.
4. Abou-Salima I. 25. Ashraf I. 14. Ashraf M. 10. El Henawy F. 29. El Negely M. 20. Eze E. 32. Kamel A. 90. Nayel A. 13. Shaaban A. (G)
Coaches
Bebo A.
Shaaban H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Cooper I. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, El Said A. ⚽, Mohamed S. E. D. A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Belia A. ↓, Taalab A. ↑,
59', Mohamed S. E. D. A. ↓, Refaat A. ↑,
59', Tarek Z. ↓, El Negely M. ↑,
59', Bayoumi M. ↓, El Henawy F. ↑,
73', El Zahdi A. ↓, Metawea M. ↑,
77', Turay A. ↓, El Shimi S. ↑,
77', Saviola O. 🟨,
78', El Said A. ↓, El Nahas M. ↑,
89', Khaled A. 🟨,
90+1', El Deghemy M. ↓, Nayel A. ↑,
90+1', Magli M. ↓, Ashraf M. ↑,
90+5', Abdelhakim I. ↓, Ashraf I. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Hamdi M. ⚽, El Negely M. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 1.
In recent matches, El Gouna has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Haras El-Hodood is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, El Gouna is the team to beat.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, El Gouna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
Egypt
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Masoud A. (G) 
Turay A. 
Ibrahim H. 
Cooper I. 
