Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Harborough Town		Leamington

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.05
	2.95	3.3	2.05
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	3.04	3.24	2.17
	3.15	3.46	2.18
	3.08	3.34	2.18	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.68)	3.33 ↓ (3.68)	2.15 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harborough Town
29.9%

Draw
27.5%

Leamington
42.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.6%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harborough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Leamington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leamington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leamington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Harborough Town - Leamington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Starkie B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Recent matches Harborough is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leamington is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leamington will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harborough Town
English Southern League Central Division
24.09.24	Halesowen Town - Harborough Town	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Stratford Town - Harborough Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Harborough Town - Stourbridge	4:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
10.09.24	Harborough Town - Spalding United	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Harborough Town - Redditch United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWWL
- Leamington
English National League North
24.09.24	Leamington - Oxford City	4:1 ✺
21.09.24	Farsley - Leamington	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Leamington - Carlton Town	1:0 ✺
English National League North
03.09.24	Warrington Town - Leamington	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Marine - Leamington	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWTT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harborough Town
English National League North
31.10.26	Hebburn Town - Harborough Town	✺
- Leamington
English Southern League Central Division
31.10.26	Leamington - Peterborough Sports	✺

Harborough Town - Leamington