Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 29

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Harborough Town		Stourbridge

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.15	7.5
	1.43	4.33	6.43
	1.33	5.2	8.07	Watch
	1.4	4	6
	1.42	4.72	6.56
	1.41	4.33	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.36)	4.46 ↓ (4.64)	6.84 ↓ (7.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harborough Town
66%

Draw
20.6%

Stourbridge
13.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.3%

20%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

19.2%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harborough Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Stourbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Harborough Town - Stourbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, O’Sullivan R. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Stephens B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 3 - 0, Dolman L. ⚽,
90+1', Pennant T. 🟥,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Harborough is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Stourbridge has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Harborough is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Harborough won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Harborough won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Stourbridge	13	5	4	4	15:16	-1	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harborough Town
English Southern League Central Division
24.01.26	Harborough Town - Leiston	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Sudbury Town - Harborough Town	1:3 ✺
13.01.26	Harborough Town - Stamford	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Spalding United - Harborough Town	3:1 ✺
27.12.25	Harborough Town - Kettering Town	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW
- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
24.01.26	Stourbridge - Redditch United	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Leiston - Stourbridge	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Stourbridge - Quorn	5:0 ✺
27.12.25	Stourbridge - Banbury United	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Bury Town - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
17.12.25	Stourbridge - Harborough Town	2:1
25.01.25	Harborough Town - Stourbridge	0:1
15.10.24	Stourbridge - Harborough Town	1:4
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Harborough Town - Stourbridge	4:2

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