Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 5

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Harland & Wolff Welders		Ards

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	3.7
	1.75	3.75	3.85
	1.75	3.67	3.82
	1.73	3.82	3.86
	1.71	3.95	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.72)	3.76 ↓ (4.2)	3.82 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harland & Wolff Welders
52.2%

Draw
24.1%

Ards
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

21.9%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

21.2%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harland & Wolff Welders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harland & Wolff Welders than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ards than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Harland & Wolff Welders - Ards Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Barr Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 1 - 1, Healy B. ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Reilly J. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, H&W Welders won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Ards may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, H&W Welders is a strong favorite.

We predict that H&W Welders will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, H&W Welders won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, H&W Welders won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harland & Wolff Welders
Northern Irish Championship
30.08.25	Queens University Belfast - Harland & Wolff Welders	0:3 ✺
23.08.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Newington	3:2 ✺
16.08.25	Ballinamallard United - Harland & Wolff Welders	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Armagh City	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Glenavon	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLWW
- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
29.08.25	Ards - Dundela	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Ards - Annagh United	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Institute FC - Ards	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Ards - Ballinamallard United	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.25	Bangor - Ards	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
05.04.25	Ards - Harland & Wolff Welders	2:5
15.03.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Ards	0:1
30.11.24	Harland & Wolff Welders - Ards	4:0
21.09.24	Ards - Harland & Wolff Welders	3:1
24.02.24	Ards - Harland & Wolff Welders	0:1
18.11.23	Harland & Wolff Welders - Ards	0:3
11.02.23	Ards - Harland & Wolff Welders	0:1

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