The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Harland & Wolff Welders 48.6%
Draw 23.3%
Loughgall 28.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.9%
22.6%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.9%
21.8%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harland & Wolff Welders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harland & Wolff Welders's form might have worsened.
Loughgall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harland & Wolff Welders than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loughgall than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Harland & Wolff Welders - Loughgall Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th in the NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 11th in the NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, H&W Welders won 2.
H&W Welders has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Loughgall has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Loughgall may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, H&W Welders has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, H&W Welders is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, H&W Welders has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:27 (averaging 1.1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for H&W Welders against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:10 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).