Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 12

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: NIFL Championship 🌤️ ...


	Strabane Athletic		Loughgall

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.20	1.90
	3.65	3.4	1.88
	3.68	3.34	1.8
	3.69	3.59	1.86	Watch
	3.62	3.28	1.77
	3.68	3.38	1.85
	3.6	3.45	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.41)	3.38 ↓ (3.6)	1.85 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strabane Athletic
24.8%

Draw
26.6%

Loughgall
48.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27%

25.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

23.6%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strabane Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Loughgall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strabane Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loughgall than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Strabane Athletic - Loughgall Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 14th in the NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 12th in the NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )).

In recent outings, Strabane Athletic has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Loughgall is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Loughgall has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Loughgall holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Strabane Athletic has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Loughgall	13	4	5	4	18:23	-5	17
15	Strabane Athletic	13	2	4	7	11:22	-11	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strabane Athletic
Northern Irish Championship
10.10.26	Warrenpoint Town - Strabane Athletic	1:0 ✺
02.10.26	Strabane Athletic - Armagh City	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Ards - Strabane Athletic	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Dundela - Strabane Athletic	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Strabane Athletic - Newry City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LTWTT
- Loughgall FC
Northern Irish Championship
10.10.26	Loughgall - Moyola Park	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Loughgall - Newry City	2:1 ✺
25.09.26	Glenavon - Loughgall	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Loughgall - Armagh City	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Loughgall - Ballinamallard United	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish League Cup
07.10.25	Loughgall - Strabane Athletic	2:3 ET

Strabane Athletic - Loughgall: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide