The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Haro Deportivo 27.3%
Draw 29.1%
Agoncillo 43.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
27.5%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
28%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haro Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haro Deportivo's form might have worsened.
Agoncillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haro Deportivo than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haro Deportivo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Agoncillo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Haro Deportivo - Agoncillo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, ⚽,
64', 1 - 1, ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
In recent matches, Haro Deportivo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Agoncillo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haro Deportivo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Haro Deportivo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).