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Current Win Probability
Haro Deportivo 12.8%
Draw 25%
Calahorra 62.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.3%
23.4%
56.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.5%
22.5%
58.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haro Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haro Deportivo's form might have worsened.
Calahorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Calahorra's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haro Deportivo than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haro Deportivo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Haro Deportivo - Calahorra Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
Haro Deportivo is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Calahorra is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Haro Deportivo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Calahorra is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Haro Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Haro Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).