Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Agoncillo		Villegas

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.15	7.5
	1.48	4.27	5.66
	1.22	5.84	10.18
	1.4	4	6.5
	1.39	4.55	6.17
	1.41	4.5	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.41)	4.72 ↑ (4.06)	6.96 ↑ (6.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agoncillo
67.3%

Draw
19.5%

Villegas
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

22.3%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

21.1%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agoncillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Villegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villegas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Agoncillo - Villegas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, ⚽,
57', 2 - 0, ⚽,
65', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 10).

Agoncillo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Villegas has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Villegas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Agoncillo is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Agoncillo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Agoncillo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Agoncillo	5	2	2	1	12:8	4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Agoncillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
25.01.26	Calahorra - Agoncillo	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Agoncillo - Comillas	4:1 ✺
11.01.26	Agoncillo - Vianés	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Arnedo - Agoncillo	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Agoncillo - San Marcial	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWWTW
- CD Villegas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
24.01.26	Yagüe - Villegas	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Villegas - Calahorra	1:4 ✺
10.01.26	Villegas - Comillas	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Vianés - Villegas	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Villegas - Arnedo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
19.09.25	Villegas - Agoncillo	0:0
17.01.21	Agoncillo - Villegas	3:0
18.10.20	Villegas - Agoncillo	2:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
03.09.17	Villegas - Agoncillo	0:2

Agoncillo - Villegas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide