Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 16Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday
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San Marcial |
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Haro Deportivo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
1.98 |
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3.51 |
3.33 |
1.99 |
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3.5 |
3.1 |
2 |
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3.43 |
3.2 |
2.01 |
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3.5 |
3.33 |
1.95 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↓
(3.53) |
3.21 ↑
(3.2) |
1.99
(1.99) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
San Marcial
26% | Draw
28.3% | Haro Deportivo
45.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)The chances for Haro Deportivo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haro Deportivo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)San Marcial - Haro Deportivo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Zunzu ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Nalda Flores R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', 2 - 1, Nalda Flores R. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).San Marcial has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).Haro Deportivo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). Haro Deportivo will hold a modest advantage in this match. Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Haro Deportivo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 13 |
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| 9 | San Marcial | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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