Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 15

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Haro Deportivo		La Calzada

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	1.98	3.2	3.45
	4.23	4.08	1.67	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.25
	2.06	3.28	3.22
	2.05	3.4	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (1.92)	3.38 ↑ (3.36)	3.01 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haro Deportivo
39.9%

Draw
28.3%

La Calzada
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

27.6%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haro Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haro Deportivo's form might have worsened.

La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Calzada's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haro Deportivo than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haro Deportivo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Calzada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Haro Deportivo - La Calzada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Gutierrez S. L. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Jaen Nieto C. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Muro M. ⚽,
44', 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
58', 1 - 3, ⚽,
67', 1 - 4, ⚽,
76', 2 - 4, ⚽,
89', 3 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haro Deportivo won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Haro Deportivo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Haro Deportivo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Haro Deportivo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Haro Deportivo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haro Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
14.12.25	Varea - Haro Deportivo	3:0 ✺
07.12.25	Haro Deportivo - Peña Balsamaiso	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Autol - Haro Deportivo	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Haro Deportivo - Berceo	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Haro Deportivo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWT
- CDFC La Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
14.12.25	La Calzada - Agoncillo	2:3 ✺
05.12.25	Villegas - La Calzada	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	La Calzada - Calahorra	3:2 ✺
16.11.25	Comillas - La Calzada	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	La Calzada - Vianés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
16.03.25	La Calzada - Haro Deportivo	1:3
03.11.24	Haro Deportivo - La Calzada	0:0
10.02.24	Haro Deportivo - La Calzada	0:2
24.09.23	La Calzada - Haro Deportivo	0:0
22.01.23	Haro Deportivo - La Calzada	4:1
18.09.22	La Calzada - Haro Deportivo	3:0
27.02.22	La Calzada - Haro Deportivo	2:0

Haro Deportivo - La Calzada: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide