Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 13

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Haro Deportivo		Peña Balsamaiso

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.95	7.5
	1.28	5.34	8.71
	1.37	5.04	6.53	Watch
	1.27	5.05	8.65
	1.27	5.33	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.35)	5.14 ↑ (4.81)	7.88 ↑ (7.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haro Deportivo
70.6%

Draw
17.8%

Peña Balsamaiso
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

19.1%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

18.3%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haro Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haro Deportivo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Haro Deportivo - Peña Balsamaiso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, ⚽,
77', 2 - 0, ⚽,
89', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haro Deportivo won 1.

Haro Deportivo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Peña Balsamaiso has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Haro Deportivo is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Haro Deportivo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Haro Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haro Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
23.11.25	Autol - Haro Deportivo	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Haro Deportivo - Berceo	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Haro Deportivo	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Haro Deportivo - Oyonesa	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Pradejón - Haro Deportivo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWTTW
- Peña Balsamaiso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
23.11.25	Peña Balsamaiso - Agoncillo	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Villegas - Peña Balsamaiso	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Peña Balsamaiso - Calahorra	0:7 ✺
02.11.25	Comillas - Peña Balsamaiso	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Peña Balsamaiso - Vianés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
09.02.25	Haro Deportivo - Peña Balsamaiso	1:2
29.09.24	Peña Balsamaiso - Haro Deportivo	1:2
10.03.24	Haro Deportivo - Peña Balsamaiso	1:2
21.10.23	Peña Balsamaiso - Haro Deportivo	1:1
26.03.23	Haro Deportivo - Peña Balsamaiso	1:1
26.11.22	Peña Balsamaiso - Haro Deportivo	2:1

Haro Deportivo - Peña Balsamaiso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide