Match Info

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday


	Harrow Borough		Chesham United

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.5	1.41
	6	4.5	1.4
	5.77	5.12	1.42
	5.77	5.12	1.42
	6.35	4.55	1.39
	6	4.5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.9 ↑ (5.5)	4.72 ↓ (4.75)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrow Borough
15.5%

Draw
19.4%

Chesham United
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

19.4%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

18.8%

65.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrow Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrow Borough than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Mfinda R. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Murphy K. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Murphy K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
82', 1 - 3, German R. (Pen),
90', 1 - 4, Adebiyi C. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Harrow won 1.

Recent matches Harrow is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chesham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chesham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Harrow have a series of guest games.

In this match Chesham is indisputable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Harrow won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Harrow won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrow Borough
English Southern League South Division
28.03.24	Walton & Hersham - Harrow Borough	4:4 ✺
23.03.24	Harrow Borough - Hungerford Town	1:6 ✺
16.03.24	Gosport Borough - Harrow Borough	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Sholing - Harrow Borough	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Bracknell Town - Harrow Borough	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 TLLWT
- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
29.03.24	Chesham United - Hayes & Yeading United	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Basingstoke Town - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Chesham United - Totton	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Salisbury - Chesham United	3:1 ✺
02.03.24	Hendon - Chesham United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
01.01.24	Chesham United - Harrow Borough	4:0
25.02.23	Chesham United - Harrow Borough	2:2
11.10.22	Harrow Borough - Chesham United	2:1
11.12.21	Harrow Borough - Chesham United	0:4
07.12.21	Chesham United - Harrow Borough	0:0
06.10.20	Harrow Borough - Chesham United	1:2
15.02.20	Harrow Borough - Chesham United	2:2

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