Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 35

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Gosport Borough		Harrow Borough

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.4	4.75
	1.25	5.5	9
	1.51	4.79	4.76
	1.52	4.79	4.77
	1.47	4.3	5.46
	1.25	5.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.34)	4.88 ↓ (5)	6.29 ↑ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gosport Borough
66.1%

Draw
19.1%

Harrow Borough
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

19.3%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gosport Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Harrow Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gosport Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrow Borough than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: ) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gosport won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Harrow could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gosport is certain favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Gosport won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Gosport won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
09.03.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Gosport Borough	0:3 ✺
06.03.24	Gosport Borough - Poole Town	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Gosport Borough - Beaconsfield Town	1:2 ✺
20.02.24	Hungerford Town - Gosport Borough	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Gosport Borough - Salisbury	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWT
- Harrow Borough
English Southern League South Division
09.03.24	Sholing - Harrow Borough	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Bracknell Town - Harrow Borough	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Harrow Borough - Winchester City	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Swindon Supermarine - Harrow Borough	1:3 ✺
10.02.24	Harrow Borough - Didcot Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
06.02.24	Harrow Borough - Gosport Borough	2:0
25.03.23	Harrow Borough - Gosport Borough	0:2
26.10.22	Gosport Borough - Harrow Borough	1:3
22.01.22	Gosport Borough - Harrow Borough	3:1
26.10.21	Harrow Borough - Gosport Borough	1:0
17.10.20	Gosport Borough - Harrow Borough	2:2
14.12.19	Gosport Borough - Harrow Borough	1:0

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