Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Hartberg		Austria Lustenau

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.10	3.60	3.20
	2.08	3.45	3.25
	2.16	3.66	3.28
	2.11	3.62	3.24	Watch
	2.08	3.55	3.15
	2.11	3.48	3.25	Watch
	2.09	3.45	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.11)	3.54 ↓ (3.62)	3.25 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartberg
44.7%

Draw
26.4%

Austria Lustenau
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

26.1%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.6%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Austria Lustenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartberg than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Lustenau than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Hartberg - Austria Lustenau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 8th in the Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 2.

Hartberg is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Austria Lustenau have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Austria Lustenau may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Hartberg holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hartberg has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:26 (averaging 1.6:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hartberg against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 7:9 goals (averaging 0.8:1 per game).

Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga for now

Hartberg: 0.56% A. Lustenau: 0.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Hartberg	7	2	2	3	10:13	-3	8
8	A. Lustenau	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Hartberg
Club Friendly
24.09.26	Hartberg - Kapfenberger SV	5:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
20.09.26	Hartberg - LASK Linz	3:3 ✺
13.09.26	Swarovski Tirol - Hartberg	2:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
06.09.26	Vorwärts Steyr - Hartberg	0:4 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
30.08.26	Hartberg - Ried	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTTWW
- Austria Lustenau
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Austria Lustenau - Schalke 04	0:1 ✺
24.09.26	Austria Lustenau - Bregenz	3:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
19.09.26	Austria Lustenau - Rheindorf Altach	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Austria Wien - Austria Lustenau	2:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
05.09.26	Lafnitz - Austria Lustenau	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian OFB Cup
29.10.24	Austria Lustenau - Hartberg	0:3
Austrian Bundesliga
29.10.23	Austria Lustenau - Hartberg	0:4
29.07.23	Hartberg - Austria Lustenau	2:2
02.06.23	Austria Lustenau - Hartberg	5:1
31.03.23	Hartberg - Austria Lustenau	0:1
05.11.22	Hartberg - Austria Lustenau	1:1
14.08.22	Austria Lustenau - Hartberg	4:1

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