Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Trinity Health Stadium (East Hartford, CT)

Referee: Radosav C. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hartford Athletic		El Paso Locomotive

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.92	3.45	3.5
	1.99	3.65	3.64
	1.98	3.58	3.5	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.4
	1.95	3.49	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.18)	3.49 ↑ (3.18)	3.55 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartford Athletic
47.4%

Draw
26.5%

El Paso Locomotive
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.8%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

30.2%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartford Athletic's performance.

El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Hartford Athletic - El Paso Locomotive Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. El Paso will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Siaha A. (G) 15. Diz A. 4. Scarlett J. 25. Fischer B. 6. Makangila B. 2. Anderson S. 8. Moreira J. 11. Ngalina M. 81. Obalola A. 9. Williams A. (C) 17. Anaku S.	1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 25. Ortiz A. 21. Twumasi K. 93. Tony Alfaro 12. Ruiz R. 18. Quezada A. 16. Gabriel Torres 6. Calvillo E. (C) 5. Gomez D. 10. Moreno A. 9. Abitia D.
Substitutes
1. Carvalho E. (G) 27. Gordon S. 18. Hadjipaschalis C. 20. Hernandez A. 22. Presthus T. 29. Taofeek A.	13. Avila R. 30. Coronado R. 11. Farkarlun B. 29. Hoban K. 28. Mora O. 99. Romero A. (G) 8. Sainte C. F.
Coaches
Burke B.	Gonzalez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Calvillo E. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Tony Alfaro (Penalty Awarded),
32', 0 - 3, Abitia D. ⚽, Twumasi K. (A),
36', Abitia D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Obalola A. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
54', Gabriel Torres 🟨,
56', Diz A. 🟨,
64', 0 - 4, Gabriel Torres ⚽,
66', Calvillo E. ↓, Sainte C. F. ↑,
66', Gabriel Torres ↓, Farkarlun B. ↑,
66', Abitia D. ↓, Avila R. ↑,
66', Moreno A. ↓, Mora O. ↑,
68', Moreira J. ↓, Taofeek A. ↑,
74', Ortiz A. 🟨,
79', Makangila B. ↓, Hadjipaschalis C. ↑,
81', Gomez D. ↓, Coronado R. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Hartford has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

El Paso is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Hartford is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartford Athletic
USL Championship
04.04.26	Miami - Hartford Athletic	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.26	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
28.03.26	Hartford Athletic - Indy Eleven	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Brooklyn - Hartford Athletic	1:2 ✺
US Open Cup
18.03.26	Motown - Hartford Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLTWW
- El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
04.04.26	El Paso Locomotive - Las Vegas Lights	3:2 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.26	New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive	0:4 ✺
USL Championship
28.03.26	Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive	1:2 ✺
US Open Cup
19.03.26	Laredo Heat - El Paso Locomotive	0:2 ✺
USL Championship
14.03.26	Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
29.03.25	Hartford Athletic - El Paso Locomotive	1:2
09.03.24	El Paso Locomotive - Hartford Athletic	0:1
26.08.23	Hartford Athletic - El Paso Locomotive	0:2
04.06.22	El Paso Locomotive - Hartford Athletic	1:1

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