Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Cardinale Stadium (Seaside, CA)

Referee: Vincze R. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Monterey Bay		El Paso Locomotive

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.10	2.35
	2.80	2.88	2.48
	2.85	3.39	2.52
	2.64	3.79	2.34	Watch
	2.62	3.00	2.45
	2.63	3.22	2.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.42)	3.23 ↓ (3.55)	2.47 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterey Bay
34.1%

Draw
28.5%

El Paso Locomotive
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

25.8%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

25.2%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Monterey Bay will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). El Paso will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Jackson J. (G) 5. Gordon N. (C) 32. Farnsworth Z. 17. Glasgow O. 22. Garcia J. 14. Nakamura R. 4. Ross N. 24. Saidi A. 11. Leggett W. 20. Paul I. 88. Lletget S.	1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 18. Quezada A. 2. Cardona N. 21. Twumasi K. 93. Tony Alfaro 16. Gabriel Torres 19. Mendez A. 30. Coronado R. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 13. Avila R. 14. Rubin R.
Substitutes
18. Belmar J. 23. Blancas E. 33. Carbajal D. 31. Dalton C. (G) 25. Egwu K. 8. Lomtadze G. 7. Rebollar A. 3. Ritchie S.	9. Abitia D. 23. Diaz G. 15. Dollenmayer N. 5. Gomez D. 28. Mora O. 99. Romero A. (G) 12. Ruiz R.
Coaches
Covelo A.	Gonzalez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Mora-Mora S. ↓, Romero A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Twumasi K. 🟨,
75', Leggett W. ↓, Blancas E. ↑,
76', Quezada A. ↓, Mora O. ↑,
84', Saidi A. ↓, Ritchie S. ↑,
88', Avila R. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, Paul I. ⚽,
90+3', Lletget S. ↓, Egwu K. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

El Paso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
17.06.26	Tulsa - Monterey Bay	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Monterey Bay - Sporting Jacksonville	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay	2:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	Monterey Bay - Loudoun United	4:1 ✺
23.05.26	Monterey Bay - Birmingham Legion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLWW
- El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
13.06.26	El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
10.06.26	Detroit City - El Paso Locomotive	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - El Paso Locomotive	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	El Paso Locomotive - Lexington	1:4 ✺
USL Cup
27.05.26	El Paso Locomotive - AV Alta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
14.03.26	Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive	0:3
16.08.25	El Paso Locomotive - Monterey Bay	2:2
21.06.25	Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive	1:2
24.08.24	Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive	0:0
13.03.24	El Paso Locomotive - Monterey Bay	1:1
02.09.23	El Paso Locomotive - Monterey Bay	1:2
08.07.23	Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive	0:0

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