Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA)

Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC


	Sacramento Republic		El Paso Locomotive

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.35	4.45
	1.78	3.45	4.99
	1.79	3.37	4.66	Watch
	1.75	3.25	4.2
	1.8	3.33	4.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.25)	3.35 ↑ (2.75)	4.6 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento Republic
52.2%

Draw
27.6%

El Paso Locomotive
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

33.6%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sacramento Republic's performance.

El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Paso Locomotive might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 6 - 75%). El Paso will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sacramento Republic: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitiello D. (G) 3. Spaulding R. 6. Kleemann F. 4. Desmond L. (C) 22. Benitez M. 18. Kaye M. 27. Crisostomo D. 10. Rodriguez A. 24. Casas J. 17. Wanner D. 11. Ajago F.	1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 29. Hoban K. 21. Twumasi K. 18. Quezada A. 12. Ruiz R. 30. Coronado R. 93. Tony Alfaro 19. Mendez A. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 10. Moreno A. 14. Rubin R.
Substitutes
71. Edwards K. 15. Essel A. 45. Montero J. 43. Paskey R. 31. Randolph J. (G) 41. Strassburg L. 55. Ukaegbu C. 20. Willey B.	9. Abitia D. 13. Avila R. 16. Gabriel Torres 5. Gomez D. 28. Mora O. 25. Ortiz A. 99. Romero A. (G) 77. Villagomez J.
Coaches
Collins N.	Gonzalez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Moreno A. ⚽, Calvillo E. (A),
37', 0 - 2, Mendez A. (Penalty Awarded),
40', Wanner D. 🟨,
44', Calvillo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Calvillo E. 🟨,
64', Wanner D. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
73', Hoban K. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
73', Coronado R. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
73', Moreno A. ↓, Avila R. ↑,
81', Rubin R. ↓, Abitia D. ↑,
81', Mendez A. ↓, Gabriel Torres ↑,
84', Casas J. ↓, Essel A. ↑,
86', Ruiz R. 🟨,
87', Essel A. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Benitez M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 3.

El Paso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sacramento Republic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
21.03.26	Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
18.03.26	Sacramento Republic - El Farolito	2:0 ET ✺
USL Championship
14.03.26	Lexington - Sacramento Republic	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Sacramento Republic - Tulsa	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWTWL
- El Paso Locomotive
US Open Cup
19.03.26	Laredo Heat - El Paso Locomotive	0:2 ✺
USL Championship
14.03.26	Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive	0:3 ✺
07.03.26	El Paso Locomotive - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	San Antonio - El Paso Locomotive	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
23.08.25	El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic	1:0
12.07.25	Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive	3:0
19.10.24	El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic	2:1
14.08.24	Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive	2:0
16.09.23	Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive	1:0
11.03.23	El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic	0:1
18.05.22	El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic	1:0

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