Match Info

National League - Round 2

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hartlepool United		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.5
	2.1	3.3	2.95
	2.05	3.35	3.35
	2.02	3.57	3.62
	2.10	3.25	3.42	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.1
	2.05	3.33	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.08)	3.33 ↑ (3.31)	3.36 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
44.6%

Draw
27.8%

Braintree Town
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

27.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

27.8%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Braintree Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Hartlepool United - Braintree Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Braintree will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hartlepool (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cartwright H. (G) 2. Benn J. 7. Francis J. 3. John C. 9. Johnson D. 6. McNally R. 18. Miley J. 4. Parkes T. (C) 19. Reid A. 14. Sheron N. 23. Topalloj B.	1. Terry M. (G) 14. Akinde J. 2. Francis-Clarke A. 20. Hubbard F. 4. Langston G. (C) 8. Marshall-Miranda M. 5. Omrore M. 15. Smith T. 24. Terry F. 39. Thorpe E. 9. Walker L.
Substitutes
10. Campbell A. 11. Charman L. 28. Daly M. 15. Hunter J. 5. Kouogun M. 40. Smith A. (G) 38. Walker B.	16. Babic G. 11. Cooper C. 19. Hockey F. 10. Judge A. 18. Kamara S. 17. Pinnington J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Topalloj B. 🟨,
32', Langston G. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Francis-Clarke A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Langston G. 🟥,
56', 2 - 0, Reid A. (Pen),
59', Hubbard F. ↓, Judge A. ↑,
64', Thorpe E. ↓, Cooper C. ↑,
70', Akinde J. (Pen),
71', Walker L. 🟨,
75', Parkes T. ↓, Daly M. ↑,
75', Reid A. ↓, Kouogun M. ↑,
76', Walker L. ↓, Hockey F. ↑,
76', Akinde J. ↓, Kamara S. ↑,
82', Johnson D. ↓, Charman L. ↑,
82', Miley J. ↓, Walker B. ↑,
90+3', Francis J. ↓, Campbell A. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Braintree may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Braintree has had a series of home games.

Hartlepool is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartlepool won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Hartlepool United - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.46%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
09.08.25	Yeovil Town - Hartlepool United	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Hartlepool United - South Shields	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Hartlepool United - Middlesbrough U21	1:1 ✺
15.07.25	Redcar Athletic - Hartlepool United	0:3 ✺
12.07.25	Whitby Town - Hartlepool United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLTWW
- Braintree Town
English National League Cup
12.08.25	Braintree Town - Leicester City U21	2:0 ✺
English National League
09.08.25	Braintree Town - Halifax Town	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Worthing - Braintree Town	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Braintree Town - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
25.07.25	Braintree Town - Fulham U21	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
01.02.25	Braintree Town - Hartlepool United	1:1
31.08.24	Hartlepool United - Braintree Town	0:0
26.01.19	Hartlepool United - Braintree Town	2:1
14.08.18	Braintree Town - Hartlepool United	1:1

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