Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 10

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)


	Hartlepool United		Dagenham & Redbridge

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.7
	2.25	3.3	2.6
	2.45	3.5	2.65
	2.44	3.61	2.75
	2.44	3.47	2.72	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.1
	2.47	3.38	2.6
	2.45	3.5	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.07)	3.45 ↓ (3.52)	2.72 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
39.2%

Draw
26.8%

Dagenham & Redbridge
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

26.3%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

26.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hartlepool United's form might have worsened.

Dagenham & Redbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartlepool United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dagenham & Redbridge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Hartlepool United - Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Dagenham will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Smith A. (G) 19. Asiimwe N. 11. Charman L. 20. Dieseruvwe E. 2. Dodds D. 16. Featherstone N. 3. Ferguson D. 12. Grey J. 4. Parkes T. (C) 17. Sass-Davies B. 14. Sheron N.	1. Justham E. (C) 5. Eastman T. 30. Kalambayi P. 19. Ling S. 24. Morias J. 7. Pereira D. 6. Phipps H. 8. Rees J. 9. Umerah J. 3. Vincent F. 2. Woodhouse L.
Substitutes
9. Madine G. 8. Mancini A. 18. Mathurin R. 23. Onariase E. 26. Robinson D. 15. Sloggett G. 31. Young B. (G)	14. Grego-Cox R. 10. Hill R. 16. Remy S. 17. Rendall T. 21. Rutherford O. 18. Stephenson D. 13. Strizovic J. (G)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Hartlepool will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
14.09.24	Ebbsfleet United - Hartlepool United	1:0 ✺
10.09.24	Boston United - Hartlepool United	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Hartlepool United - Halifax Town	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Hartlepool United - Braintree Town	0:0 ✺
26.08.24	Woking - Hartlepool United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTTL
- Dagenham & Redbridge
English National League
14.09.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Gateshead	7:1 ✺
10.09.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Sutton United	3:0 ✺
07.09.24	Maidenhead United - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - York City	0:2 ✺
26.08.24	Southend United - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
13.04.24	Hartlepool United - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1
23.09.23	Dagenham & Redbridge - Hartlepool United	0:1
02.04.21	Hartlepool United - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:1
23.03.21	Dagenham & Redbridge - Hartlepool United	0:1
21.12.19	Hartlepool United - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0
14.09.19	Dagenham & Redbridge - Hartlepool United	3:1
01.12.18	Hartlepool United - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:2

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