Match Info

Date: 20 September 2022, Tuesday


	Hartley Wintney		Bath City

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	1.8
	3.75	4	1.67
	3.45	3.75	1.8
	3.54	4.21	1.81
	3.75	3.5	1.78
	3.7	3.88	1.75	Watch
	3.5	3.8	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (3.98)	3.83 ↓ (4.15)	1.78 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartley Wintney
25.3%

Draw
23.6%

Bath City
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

21.9%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

21.1%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartley Wintney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartley Wintney than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bath City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	41.7%	41.7%

Hartley Wintney - Bath City Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Hartley Wintney will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Bath will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bath: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 2-2.

Recent matches Hartley Wintney is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bath is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hartley Wintney could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bath is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hartley Wintney won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartley Wintney
English FA Cup
17.09.22	Bath City - Hartley Wintney	2:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
29.08.22	Hartley Wintney - Bracknell Town	1:2 ✺
27.08.22	Dorchester Town - Hartley Wintney	4:2 ✺
20.08.22	Hartley Wintney - Hayes & Yeading United	0:0 ✺
16.08.22	Salisbury - Hartley Wintney	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TLLTW
- Bath City
English FA Cup
17.09.22	Bath City - Hartley Wintney	2:2 ✺
English National League South
13.09.22	Bath City - Weymouth	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	Ebbsfleet United - Bath City	3:1 ✺
29.08.22	Bath City - Slough Town	5:1 ✺
27.08.22	Farnborough - Bath City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
17.09.22	Bath City - Hartley Wintney	2:2

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