Match Info

Date: 2 October 2021, Saturday


	Hartley Wintney		Taunton Town

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.7	1.9
	3.4	3.65	1.85
	3.62	3.87	1.88
	3.36	3.65	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.25)	3.72 ↑ (3.62)	1.9 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartley Wintney
27.2%

Draw
24.6%

Taunton Town
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

25.5%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

16.8%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartley Wintney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Taunton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartley Wintney than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartley Wintney, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taunton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hartley Wintney - Taunton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 and 6).

Hartley Wintney is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Taunton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Taunton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Taunton will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hartley Wintney won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Hartley Wintney won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartley Wintney
English Southern League South Division
28.09.21	Hartley Wintney - Beaconsfield Town	1:4 ✺
25.09.21	Weston-super-Mare - Hartley Wintney	1:3 ✺
11.09.21	Hayes & Yeading United - Hartley Wintney	6:1 ✺
30.08.21	Hartley Wintney - Gosport Borough	0:1 ✺
28.08.21	Truro City - Hartley Wintney	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLLT
- Taunton Town
English Southern League South Division
25.09.21	Taunton Town - Walton Casuals	3:0 ✺
14.09.21	Poole Town - Taunton Town	2:2 ✺
11.09.21	Farnborough - Taunton Town	3:2 ✺
30.08.21	Taunton Town - Truro City	2:1 ✺
28.08.21	Hayes & Yeading United - Taunton Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
09.03.19	Taunton Town - Hartley Wintney	2:2
15.12.18	Hartley Wintney - Taunton Town	3:1

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