Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 29

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday


	Hartley Wintney		Beaconsfield Town

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	1.95
	2.8	3.55	2.12
	3.11	3.63	1.96
	3.2	3.65	2
	3.1	3.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.4)	3.62 ↑ (3.6)	2 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartley Wintney
29.7%

Draw
25%

Beaconsfield Town
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

25.1%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartley Wintney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hartley Wintney's form might have worsened.

Beaconsfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beaconsfield Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartley Wintney than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartley Wintney, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beaconsfield Town than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beaconsfield Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hartley Wintney - Beaconsfield Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartley Wintney won 0.

Hartley Wintney is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Beaconsfield is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hartley Wintney could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hartley Wintney won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Hartley Wintney won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartley Wintney
English Southern League South Division
04.03.23	Yate Town - Hartley Wintney	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	Hartley Wintney - Winchester City	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Truro City - Hartley Wintney	1:1 ✺
15.02.23	Swindon Supermarine - Hartley Wintney	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Plymouth Parkway - Hartley Wintney	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTTLT
- Beaconsfield Town
English Southern League South Division
07.03.23	Weston-super-Mare - Beaconsfield Town	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Tiverton Town - Beaconsfield Town	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Beaconsfield Town - Hendon	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Poole Town - Beaconsfield Town	2:2 ✺
11.02.23	Beaconsfield Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Beaconsfield Town - Hartley Wintney	3:2 penalties
English Southern League South Division
03.10.22	Beaconsfield Town - Hartley Wintney	1:0
18.12.21	Beaconsfield Town - Hartley Wintney	1:0
28.09.21	Hartley Wintney - Beaconsfield Town	1:4
06.10.20	Hartley Wintney - Beaconsfield Town	1:1
15.10.19	Beaconsfield Town - Hartley Wintney	1:2
20.04.19	Hartley Wintney - Beaconsfield Town	2:0

Hartley Wintney - Beaconsfield Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide