Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 45

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Farnborough		Taunton Town

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.2	5.75
	1.45	4.33	6.5
	1.5	4.33	6
	1.5	4.33	6
	1.46	4.39	6
	1.46	4.2	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.78)	4.3 ↑ (3.74)	5.98 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farnborough
63%

Draw
21.5%

Taunton Town
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

24.7%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

24.5%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Farnborough's performance.

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taunton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farnborough that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taunton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Farnborough - Taunton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Evans C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+4', Acey B. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Farnborough won 3.

Farnborough is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Taunton is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Farnborough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Farnborough is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Farnborough to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Farnborough won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Farnborough won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farnborough
English National League South
11.04.24	Farnborough - Chippenham Town	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	Farnborough - Maidstone United	0:1 ✺
01.04.24	Tonbridge Angels - Farnborough	1:2 ✺
26.03.24	Weston-super-Mare - Farnborough	0:3 ✺
23.03.24	Dover Athletic - Farnborough	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWW
- Taunton Town
English National League South
11.04.24	Taunton Town - Slough Town	0:4 ✺
09.04.24	Braintree Town - Taunton Town	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Taunton Town	1:1 ✺
03.04.24	Taunton Town - Maidstone United	0:1 ✺
01.04.24	Taunton Town - Bath City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
09.12.23	Taunton Town - Farnborough	4:0
14.02.23	Taunton Town - Farnborough	0:2
16.08.22	Farnborough - Taunton Town	1:0
English Southern League South Division
23.04.22	Taunton Town - Farnborough	2:1
11.09.21	Farnborough - Taunton Town	3:2
10.10.20	Farnborough - Taunton Town	0:1
11.03.20	Farnborough - Taunton Town	4:0

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