Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 18

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Hastings United		Dartford

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	1.88
	3.25	3.75	1.9
	3.36	4.16	1.86
	3.38	4.02	1.84
	2.8	3.4	2.1
	3.4	3.62	1.89
	3.25	3.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.45)	3.76 ↑ (3.55)	1.91 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hastings United
28.1%

Draw
24.2%

Dartford
47.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.8%

25.4%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

24.9%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hastings United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hastings United's form might have worsened.

Dartford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dartford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hastings United than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hastings United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dartford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hastings United - Dartford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Carruthers S. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
74', 0 - 2, Pinder J. ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 3, Dsane E. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 11).

Hastings is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dartford is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dartford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Hastings United - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.77%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hastings United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.11.24	Hastings United - Carshalton Athletic	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Hendon - Hastings United	9:0 ✺
16.11.24	Hastings United - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Wingate & Finchley - Hastings United	2:1 ✺
05.11.24	Hastings United - Whitehawk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLW
- Dartford
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.11.24	Chichester City - Dartford	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	Dartford - Lewes	2:0 ✺
12.11.24	Hashtag United - Dartford	3:3 ✺
09.11.24	Dartford - Cheshunt	2:1 ✺
05.11.24	Potters Bar Town - Dartford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dartford
English Isthmian League Premier Division
31.10.26	Aveley - Dartford	✺

Hastings United - Dartford