Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 18

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday


	Hastings United		Dartford

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	1.88
	3.25	3.75	1.9
	3.36	4.16	1.86
	3.38	4.02	1.84
	2.8	3.4	2.1
	3.4	3.62	1.89
	3.25	3.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.45)	3.76 ↑ (3.55)	1.91 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hastings United
28.1%

Draw
24.2%

Dartford
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

25.4%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

24.9%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hastings United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hastings United's form might have worsened.

Dartford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dartford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hastings United than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hastings United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dartford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hastings United - Dartford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Carruthers S. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
74', 0 - 2, Pinder J. ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 3, Dsane E. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 11).

Hastings is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dartford is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dartford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hastings United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.11.24	Hastings United - Carshalton Athletic	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Hendon - Hastings United	9:0 ✺
16.11.24	Hastings United - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Wingate & Finchley - Hastings United	2:1 ✺
05.11.24	Hastings United - Whitehawk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLW
- Dartford
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.11.24	Chichester City - Dartford	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	Dartford - Lewes	2:0 ✺
12.11.24	Hashtag United - Dartford	3:3 ✺
09.11.24	Dartford - Cheshunt	2:1 ✺
05.11.24	Potters Bar Town - Dartford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTWT

Upcoming Matches