Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 12

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday


	Hastings United		Carshalton Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	1.85
	3.6	3.75	1.8
	3.61	3.97	1.84
	3.64	3.89	1.8
	3.61	3.55	1.85
	3.6	3.75	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.3)	3.75 ↑ (3.6)	1.82 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hastings United
25.6%

Draw
24.3%

Carshalton Athletic
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

25.1%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

25.7%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hastings United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hastings United's form might have worsened.

Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carshalton Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hastings United than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hastings United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carshalton Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hastings United - Carshalton Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Harley W. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Smith D. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Hastings is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Carshalton is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carshalton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hastings won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.6:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Hastings won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hastings United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.11.24	Hendon - Hastings United	9:0 ✺
16.11.24	Hastings United - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Wingate & Finchley - Hastings United	2:1 ✺
05.11.24	Hastings United - Whitehawk	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Hadley - Hastings United	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL
- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.11.24	Carshalton Athletic - Cheshunt	1:1 ✺
18.11.24	Carshalton Athletic - Potters Bar Town	2:1 ✺
16.11.24	Bognor Regis Town - Carshalton Athletic	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Carshalton Athletic - Billericay Town	4:3 ✺
05.11.24	Wingate & Finchley - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.01.24	Carshalton Athletic - Hastings United	2:1
21.11.23	Hastings United - Carshalton Athletic	4:0
25.02.23	Carshalton Athletic - Hastings United	2:1
24.09.22	Hastings United - Carshalton Athletic	1:0
18.04.13	Hastings United - Carshalton Athletic	1:4

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