Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 5

Date: 26 August 2024, Monday


	Hastings United		Folkestone Invicta

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.1
	2	3.5	3.2
	2.04	3.57	3.17
	2.02	3.58	3.18
	1.95	3.4	3.1
	1.99	3.44	3.3
	2	3.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.79)	3.48 ↓ (3.88)	3.18 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hastings United
45.4%

Draw
26.1%

Folkestone Invicta
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

23.8%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

23.7%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hastings United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hastings United's form might have worsened.

Folkestone Invicta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hastings United than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hastings United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Hastings United - Folkestone Invicta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Kassarate A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 2, Smith D. ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, Rodari D. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hastings United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.08.24	Potters Bar Town - Hastings United	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Hastings United - Bognor Regis Town	2:2 ✺
13.08.24	Whitehawk - Hastings United	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Hastings United - Horsham	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.24	Hastings United - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTWWW
- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.08.24	Folkestone Invicta - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Wingate & Finchley - Folkestone Invicta	Abandoned ✺
13.08.24	Dover Athletic - Folkestone Invicta	2:3 ✺
10.08.24	Folkestone Invicta - Carshalton Athletic	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Tonbridge Angels - Folkestone Invicta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 L?WTT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.04.24	Hastings United - Folkestone Invicta	2:1
26.12.23	Folkestone Invicta - Hastings United	0:5
07.02.23	Hastings United - Folkestone Invicta	2:1
16.08.22	Folkestone Invicta - Hastings United	0:0

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