The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tonbridge Angels 40.7%
Draw 26.5%
Folkestone Invicta 32.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.8%
26.9%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
25.9%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tonbridge Angels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Folkestone Invicta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Tonbridge Angels - Folkestone Invicta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
77', 1 - 0, Baker F. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 0, Baker F. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 7th in the Promotion - National League South Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tonbridge won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Tonbridge has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:14 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tonbridge against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:9 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Tonbridge
14
7
3
4
26:14
12
24
10
Folkestone
14
5
4
5
20:16
4
19
Outrights of English National League South for now
Tonbridge: 3.56% Folkestone: 2.2%
Last Results with these Odds
Tonbridge Angels - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.82%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Folkestone Invicta - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.3%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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