Match Info

1. Lig - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Pendik Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Tonusluoglu D. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Pendikspor		Serik Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.51	4.16	5.25
	1.5	4.34	5.97
	1.47	4.42	5.93	Watch
	1.55	4.1	5.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.47)	4.24 ↓ (4.42)	5.57 ↓ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pendikspor
61.4%

Draw
21.9%

Serik Belediyespor
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

21%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

20%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pendikspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Serik Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pendikspor - Serik Belediyespor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Pendikspor will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dilmen D. (G) 23. Gokce E. 88. Fidan Y. 4. Soldo V. 66. Dogan F. 41. Ozdemir M. (C) 14. Yesil H. 18. Akman H. 10. Wilks M. 9. Clarke-Harris J. 17. Karademir A.	13. Demir I. (G) 4. Martynov A. 24. Gotsuk K. (C) 35. Isciler B. 22. Ceylan B. 58. Asan B. 20. Dilli S. 6. Tikhiy D. 7. Berkovsky I. 79. Altiparmak G. 10. Amaral J.
Substitutes
12. Bitin G. 60. Karadeniz B. 30. Koyuncu E. (G) 21. Maldar H. 34. Rogerio Thuram 20. Safin E. 6. Sequeira 81. Tekdal T. 77. Ugur A. 97. Yuvakuran U. (G)	33. Akkan G. 89. Celenk E. 19. Cetin S. 34. Ersu E. (G) 70. Ozcan S. 9. Sadygov I. 16. Sen K. 8. Silva M. 2. Tashkyn S. 25. Yuran A.
Coaches
Ilhan M.	Yuran S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Wilks M. ⚽, Dogan F. (A),
33', Dilli S. 🟨,
39', Martynov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Clarke-Harris J. ⚽, Wilks M. (A),
59', Karademir A. ↓, Rogerio Thuram ↑,
59', 3 - 0, Altiparmak G. (Own goal),
62', Amaral J. ↓, Celenk E. ↑,
62', Dilli S. ↓, Silva M. ↑,
67', Isciler B. ↓, Sen K. ↑,
73', Akman H. ↓, Ugur A. ↑,
73', Clarke-Harris J. ↓, Bitin G. ↑,
73', Yesil H. ↓, Karadeniz B. ↑,
77', Berkovsky I. ↓, Yuran A. ↑,
77', Altiparmak G. ↓, Sadygov I. ↑,
79', Dogan F. ↓, Safin E. ↑,
81', Sen K. 🟨,
83', Wilks M. 🟨,
90', Yuran A. 🟨,
90+2', 4 - 0, Rogerio Thuram ⚽, Karadeniz B. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

Pendikspor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Serik Belediyespor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Pendikspor is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Pendikspor: Akbaba B. (Inactive) Colak M. (Inactive) Denic D. (Red Card) Mulele Lomboto A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Karakaya B. (Inactive) Kok D. (Inactive) Yucedag E. (Inactive)

We predict that Pendikspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pendikspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Including home match between the teams, Pendikspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pendikspor
Turkish First League
18.10.25	Vanspor - Pendikspor	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Pendikspor - Adana Demirspor	3:0 ✺
29.09.25	Keçiörengücü - Pendikspor	0:0 ✺
25.09.25	Pendikspor - Sakaryaspor	4:1 ✺
21.09.25	Sarıyer - Pendikspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWTWW
- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish First League
20.10.25	Serik Belediyespor - Amed SK	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Sivasspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Serik Belediyespor - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Çorum - Serik Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Serik Belediyespor - Bandırmaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
27.01.21	Pendikspor - Serik Belediyespor	4:1

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