Match Info

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: UAE LEAGUE - ROUND 4

Date: 28 September 2023, Thursday

Location: Sheikh Hamdan Bin Rashid Al Maktoum Stadium (Hatta)


	Hatta		Al-Nasr

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.2	3.75	1.75	Watch
	4.22	4.19	1.75
	3.8	3.75	1.73
	4.05	3.92	1.73	Watch
	3.8	3.85	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (3.67)	3.89 ↑ (3.77)	1.74 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hatta
23.1%

Draw
23.8%

Al-Nasr
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

24.2%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

22.8%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hatta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Al-Nasr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatta than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Nasr, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Hatta - Al Nasr Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Nasr will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khairi S. (G) 14. Ouorou T. 2. Abdulrahman A. 81. De Marco V. (C) 37. Abdulrahman H. 83. Hadeed F. 6. Tshibola A. 52. Merkel A. 99. Maroof J. 20. Al Khaldi S. 8. Karimi A.	12. Shambih A. (G) 9. Jshak A. 8. Al Kamali H. 22. Glauber 13. Al Balooshi A. 10. Medeiros I. 18. Almheiri S. A. 5. Memisevic S. 20. Agudelo K. 11. Gabbiadini M. 49. Taarabt A. (C)
Substitutes
24. Abdulrahman A. 32. Al Hamadi A. I. 78. Aljunaibi M. (G) 9. Eid A. 22. Ghulam M. 11. Lezama A. 18. Mansour A. 7. Rchoq A. 77. Yaqoob J.	88. Abdulaziz A. 2. Al Menhali M. 40. Al Tamimi A. (G) 23. Alteneiji M. A. 45. Anwar A. 3. Gustavo 70. Mohamed Omar R. 28. Petrovic B. 26. Sanqour A.
Coaches
Markov Z.	Tufegdzic G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hatta won 0.

Hatta has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al-Nasr is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Al-Nasr is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hatta won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Hatta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hatta Club
UAE Football League
24.09.23	Al-Wahda - Hatta	1:0 ✺
UAE League Cup
15.09.23	Hatta - Al Wasl	3:3 ✺
31.08.23	Al Wasl - Hatta	7:0 ✺
UAE Football League
26.08.23	Hatta - Al Ain	0:2 ✺
19.08.23	Khor Fakkan - Hatta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLLL
- Al-Nasr SC
UAE Football League
23.09.23	Al-Nasr - Al-Sharjah	0:1 ✺
UAE League Cup
14.09.23	Al-Nasr - Ajman Club	4:1 ✺
30.08.23	Ajman Club - Al-Nasr	2:2 ✺
UAE Football League
26.08.23	Bani Yas - Al-Nasr	4:2 ✺
19.08.23	Al-Nasr - Al-Jazira	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
26.02.21	Al-Nasr - Hatta	2:0
08.11.20	Hatta - Al-Nasr	0:3
19.12.19	Hatta - Al-Nasr	1:2
16.03.18	Al-Nasr - Hatta	2:1
17.11.17	Hatta - Al-Nasr	1:5
UAE League Cup
06.10.17	Hatta - Al-Nasr	0:0
UAE Presidents Cup
20.04.17	Al-Nasr - Hatta	1:0

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