Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 5

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Haugesund Stadion (Haugesund)

Referee: Bodding A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Haugesund		Sandnes Ulf

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.33	4
	1.7	4.25	4.15	Watch
	1.62	4.85	4.81
	1.66	4.6	4.08	Watch
	1.67	4	3.9
	1.66	4.25	4.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.7)	4.38 ↓ (4.63)	4.2 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haugesund
56.2%

Draw
21.4%

Sandnes Ulf
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

20.2%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

19.9%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haugesund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Sandnes Ulf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haugesund than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandnes Ulf than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Haugesund - Sandnes Ulf Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Haugesund (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Haugesund will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Haugesund (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Stople F. (G) 18. Solheim V. 4. Koskela M. 5. Moller R. 42. Bondhus A. 8. Hannola P. 14. Nilsen S. 41. Remmem L. 11. Sandberg N. 29. Diarra S. (C) 26. Andersen E.	13. Flolid T. (G) 26. Tricholidis A. 28. Haruna J. 5. Oregaard G. (C) 2. Egell-Johnsen K. 8. Saugestad S. 15. Nsoni Z. 7. Bardarson O. 17. Nyhagen A. 9. Sundgot O. 11. Sundberg M.
Substitutes
6. Bizoza P. 10. Derviskadic E. 40. Grindhaug A. 17. Karlsen H. 16. Leite B. 3. Molde S. 7. Rohd E. 1. Wichne A. (G)	22. Arifagic D. 23. Berland E. 18. Bruseth A. 25. Debes E. 12. Hagen E. (G) 10. Kostadinov K.
Coaches
Hompland O.	Cleveland A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Diarra S. ⚽, Sandberg N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Solheim V. ↓, Molde S. ↑,
46', Tricholidis A. ↓, Berland E. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Diarra S. ⚽, Sandberg N. (A),
57', Oregaard G. 🟨,
64', Egell-Johnsen K. ↓, Bruseth A. ↑,
64', Sundberg M. ↓, Kostadinov K. ↑,
68', Bruseth A. 🟨,
71', Bardarson O. ↓, Arifagic D. ↑,
76', Andersen E. ↓, Leite B. ↑,
80', Diarra S. ↓, Bizoza P. ↑,
88', Sandberg N. ↓, Rohd E. ↑,
88', Hannola P. ↓, Grindhaug A. ↑,
90+5', Bizoza P. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haugesund won 3.

Haugesund is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sandnes Ulf has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Haugesund has had a series of away games.

In this match, Haugesund is considered a favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Haugesund won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:13. (average 2.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Haugesund won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 2.3:1.1).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Haugesund: 58.9%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Haugesund	24	18	1	5	74:39	35	55
12	Sandnes	24	7	4	13	35:45	-10	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Haugesund
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.04.26	Stabæk - Haugesund	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Hødd - Haugesund	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Haugesund - Strømsgodset	4:2 ✺
06.04.26	Lyn - Haugesund	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
30.03.26	Sandnes Ulf - Haugesund	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWWT
- Sandnes Ulf
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.04.26	Sandnes Ulf - Strømsgodset	1:1 ✺
20.04.26	Lyn - Sandnes Ulf	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Sandnes Ulf - Odd	1:3 ✺
07.04.26	Hødd - Sandnes Ulf	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.03.26	Sandnes Ulf - Haugesund	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.03.26	Sandnes Ulf - Haugesund	2:2
17.02.24	Sandnes Ulf - Haugesund	0:6
17.03.23	Sandnes Ulf - Haugesund	0:3
06.03.22	Haugesund - Sandnes Ulf	3:2
19.02.21	Sandnes Ulf - Haugesund	Canceled
08.06.19	Haugesund - Sandnes Ulf	2:2
26.03.17	Haugesund - Sandnes Ulf	1:0

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