Match Info

IRAN: Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 7

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium (Tehran)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	Shabake 3


	Havadar		Esteghlal

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.7	1.49
	7	3.6	1.52
	6.7	3.75	1.49
	6.53	3.6	1.52	Watch
	7	3.7	1.44
	8.5	4.57	1.34
	7	3.6	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.03 ↑ (5.39)	3.79 ↑ (3.76)	1.47 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havadar
13.1%

Draw
24.3%

Esteghlal
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

24.6%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

20.7%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havadar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havadar than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Havadar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Esteghlal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Havadar - Esteghlal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Akhbar Monadi H. (G) 7. Ahmadi M. 88. Goudarzi M. 66. Khodaei M. 37. Mansouri M. 8. Masoumi M. E. 75. Mehraban H. 6. Mohebi S. 9. Ranjbari P. 11. Shojaeian D. 33. Tohidast M.	1. Hosseini H. (C) 19. Blanco G. 3. Fallah S. 33. Jalali A. 21. Kakuta G. 77. Masharipov J. 7. Mohammadi M. 2. Moradmand M. 22. Ndong D. 55. Raphael Silva 10. Rezaeian R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Raphael Silva ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Moradmand M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 2, Goudarzi M. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Havadar won 0.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Havadar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Esteghlal is absolute favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Havadar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4:14 (average 0.7:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Havadar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havadar SC
Iran Pro League
27.09.24	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Havadar	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Havadar - Foolad Khuzestan	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Aluminium Arak - Havadar	0:0 ✺
29.08.24	Havadar - Tractor Sazi	0:4 ✺
23.08.24	Zob Ahan - Havadar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLTLT
- Esteghlal FC
AFC Champions League
30.09.24	Al-Sadd - Esteghlal	2:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
25.09.24	Esteghlal - Persepolis	0:1 ✺
20.09.24	Nassaji Mazandaran - Esteghlal	2:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.24	Esteghlal - Al-Gharafa	3:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
29.08.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Esteghlal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
17.03.24	Havadar - Esteghlal	0:1
20.10.23	Esteghlal - Havadar	3:2
15.04.23	Esteghlal - Havadar	6:1
28.10.22	Havadar - Esteghlal	0:1
04.02.22	Havadar - Esteghlal	1:2
20.10.21	Esteghlal - Havadar	1:0

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