Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 2

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday

Location: Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Doha)

Referee: Jong-Hyeok K. (Kor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro SuperSport 3, Sooka
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
South-korea	Tving
Sweden	TV4 Play
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball app, Triller TV+


	Al-Sadd		Esteghlal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.6
	1.95	3.4	3.75
	2.02	3.47	3.8
	1.94	3.52	3.76	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.4	Watch
	1.98	3.52	3.81	Watch
	2	3.4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.13)	3.44 ↑ (3.28)	3.67 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Sadd
47.4%

Draw
27.2%

Esteghlal
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.7%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.6%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Sadd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Esteghlal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	6.2%	12.5%

Al Sadd - Esteghlal Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Sadd will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Barsham M. (G) 29. Saiss R. 2. Pedro Miguel 16. Khoukhi B. 6. Paulo Otavio 4. Camara M. 88. Uribe M. 77. Atal Y. 18. Guilherme 84. Afif A. (C) 19. Mujica R.	1. Hosseini H. (C) 10. Rezaeian R. 3. Fallah S. 6. Salimi I. 33. Jalali A. 22. Ndong D. 88. Rezavand A. 4. Cheshmi R. 77. Masharipov J. 19. Blanco G. 7. Mohammadi M.
Substitutes
9. Abdurisag Y. 10. Al Haydos H. 1. Al Sheeb S. (G) 13. Al Yazidi A. 8. Assadalla A. 31. Baliadeh Y. (G) 17. Cristo 21. Giovani 14. Meshaal M. 5. Salman T. 37. Suhail A. 7. Waad M.	70. Behraminejad M. 80. Eslami M. 21. Kakuta G. 12. Khaledabadi M. (G) 20. Koushki A. 2. Moradmand M. 14. Niknafs Z. 50. Nikpour A. (G) 23. Ramezani A. 55. Raphael Silva 66. Saadavi Z. 18. Zakipour M.
Coaches
Sanchez Bas F.	Nekounam J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Pedro Miguel ↓, Salman T. ↑,
24', Atal Y. ↓, Al Yazidi A. ↑,
30', Camara M. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Hosseini H. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mohammadi M. ↓, Eslami M. ↑,
46', Salimi I. ↓, Raphael Silva ↑,
65', Cheshmi R. 🟨,
66', Rezavand A. ↓, Kakuta G. ↑,
66', Jalali A. ↓, Zakipour M. ↑,
67', Cheshmi R. ↓, Ramezani A. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Afif A. (Pen),
78', Guilherme ↓, Waad M. ↑,
78', Mujica R. ↓, Cristo ↑,
90+2', Al Yazidi A. ↓, Suhail A. ↑,
90+4', Masharipov J. ↓, Koushki A. ↑,
90+8', Cristo 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Al-Sadd is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al-Sadd won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Sadd won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Sadd SC
Qatar QSL
26.09.24	Al-Sadd - Al-Gharafa	4:2 ✺
21.09.24	Al Duhail - Al-Sadd	5:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.24	Al Ain - Al-Sadd	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
13.09.24	Al-Sadd - Umm-Salal	1:3 ✺
22.08.24	Al-Sadd - Al-Arabi Doha	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTLW
- Esteghlal FC
Iran Pro League
25.09.24	Esteghlal - Persepolis	0:1 ✺
20.09.24	Nassaji Mazandaran - Esteghlal	2:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.24	Esteghlal - Al-Gharafa	3:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
29.08.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Esteghlal	1:0 ✺
23.08.24	Esteghlal - Malavan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
17.09.18	Al-Sadd - Esteghlal	2:2
27.08.18	Esteghlal - Al-Sadd	1:3
07.02.17	Esteghlal - Al-Sadd	1:0 penalties

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