Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 1

Date: 16 September 2024, Monday

Location: Azadi Stadium (Tehran)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Bulgaria	Triller TV+
China	iQIYI, Migu
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Ireland	Shabake 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	TV Start Triumph
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
South-korea	Tving
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball app


	Esteghlal		Al-Gharafa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.7	5
	1.66	3.75	5
	1.67	3.8	5.17
	1.68	3.84	4.8	Watch
	1.6	3.7	4.8	Watch
	1.67	3.88	5.15	Watch
	1.66	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.85)	3.77 ↑ (3.25)	4.99 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal
56.4%

Draw
24.8%

Al-Gharafa
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27.8%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esteghlal's performance.

Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Esteghlal - Al Gharafa Predictions

Users Predictions: Esteghlal will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hosseini H. (C) 10. Rezaeian R. 3. Fallah S. 55. Raphael Silva 18. Zakipour M. 80. Eslami M. 4. Cheshmi R. 22. Ndong D. 14. Niknafs Z. 19. Blanco G. 77. Masharipov J.	18. N'Diaye K. (G) 2. Yousif A. 20. Jang Hyun-Soo 42. Sano S. 7. Coman F. 29. Diaz F. 31. Sassi F. (C) 32. Nani M. 80. Al Ganehi A. 23. Madibo A. O. 9. Joselu
Substitutes
70. Behraminejad M. 33. Jalali A. 21. Kakuta G. 12. Khaledabadi M. (G) 7. Mohammadi M. 2. Moradmand M. 23. Ramezani A. 88. Rezavand A. 66. Saadavi Z. 6. Salimi I. 16. Sharafi A.	26. Boussafi R. 21. Fadlalla S. 99. Hamed J. 1. Hassan Y. (G) 16. Houssam Y. 3. Muntari M. 14. Sudarmanto A. 25. Tamer I. 6. Traore D.
Coaches
Nekounam J.	Martins P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Yousif A. (Own goal),
9', Sano S. 🟨,
32', Al Ganehi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Yousif A. ↓, Fadlalla S. ↑,
52', Madibo A. O. 🟨,
53', Cheshmi R. 🟨,
58', Diaz F. ↓, Hamed J. ↑,
59', N'Diaye K. 🟨,
70', Eslami M. 🟨,
71', Zakipour M. ↓, Jalali A. ↑,
74', Coman F. ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,
74', Al Ganehi A. ↓, Muntari M. ↑,
77', Eslami M. ↓, Mohammadi M. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Rezaeian R. ⚽, Mohammadi M. (A),
84', Masharipov J. ↓, Kakuta G. ↑,
84', Niknafs Z. ↓, Rezavand A. ↑,
89', 3 - 0, Rezavand A. ⚽, Jalali A. (A),

Preview

Recent matches Al-Gharafa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Gharafa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Al-Gharafa have a series of home games.

In this match Esteghlal is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal FC
Iran Pro League
29.08.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Esteghlal	1:0 ✺
23.08.24	Esteghlal - Malavan	2:2 ✺
16.08.24	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal	1:2 ✺
01.06.24	Paykan - Esteghlal	0:2 ✺
28.05.24	Esteghlal - Gol Gohar Sirjan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWWW
- Al-Gharafa SC
Qatar QSL
13.09.24	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
06.09.24	Al-Gharafa - Al-Wakrah	0:3 ✺
Qatar QSL
23.08.24	Al-Gharafa - Al-Rayyan	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Gharafa	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
13.08.24	Al-Gharafa - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLWLW

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