Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 15

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium (Tehran)


	Havadar		Nassaji Mazandaran

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.95	2.31
	2.88	2.95	2.50	Watch
	3	2.88	2.3
	3	2.88	2.38
	3	2.75	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.94)	2.88 ↑ (2.84)	2.38 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havadar
30.7%

Draw
31.4%

Nassaji Mazandaran
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

32%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

30.7%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havadar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Nassaji Mazandaran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havadar than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nassaji Mazandaran than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Havadar - Nassaji Mazandaran Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 0, Alaei A. ⚽,
89', 1 - 1, Rezazadeh P. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Persian Gulf Pro League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Havadar won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Havadar won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Havadar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havadar SC
Iran Division 1
06.12.25	Damash Gilan - Havadar	0:2
30.11.25	Havadar - Besat Kermanshah	2:2 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
22.11.25	Havadar - New Bargh Fars	3:1 ✺
Iran Division 1
14.11.25	Mes Kerman - Havadar	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Havadar - SaiPa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTWLT
- Nassaji Mazandaran
Iran Division 1
06.12.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	3:0 ✺
28.11.25	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Nassaji Mazandaran	2:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
20.11.25	SaiPa - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:0 penalties ✺
Iran Division 1
14.11.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Mes Sungun	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Damash Gilan - Nassaji Mazandaran	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
01.05.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Havadar	0:0
20.12.24	Havadar - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:1
28.05.24	Havadar - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:5
24.12.23	Nassaji Mazandaran - Havadar	2:2
06.05.23	Nassaji Mazandaran - Havadar	1:1
24.12.22	Havadar - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:1
18.05.22	Nassaji Mazandaran - Havadar	2:1

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