Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Damash Gilan		Nassaji Mazandaran

	1	X	2
	4.4	2.94	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (4.1)	2.94 ↑ (2.89)	1.88 ↓ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damash Gilan
20.7%

Draw
30.9%

Nassaji Mazandaran
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

31.5%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

30.1%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damash Gilan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Nassaji Mazandaran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damash Gilan than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nassaji Mazandaran than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Persian Gulf Pro League).

Recent form of Damash Gilan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nassaji is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nassaji may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nassaji is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damash Gilan
Iran Division 1
13.10.25	Besat Kermanshah - Damash Gilan	0:0 ✺
06.10.25	Damash Gilan - Niroye Zamini	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Mes Kerman - Damash Gilan	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Damash Gilan - SaiPa	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Navad Urmia - Damash Gilan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTLLT
- Nassaji Mazandaran
Iran Division 1
19.10.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Mes Kerman	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Navad Urmia - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:0 ✺
07.10.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Besat Kermanshah	3:0 ✺
30.09.25	SaiPa - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Niroye Zamini	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWWW

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