Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 39

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Havant & Waterlooville		Gosport Borough

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.4
	1.89	3.61	3.5
	1.9	3.81	3.56	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.5
	1.82	3.56	3.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.07)	3.58 ↓ (3.65)	3.53 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havant & Waterlooville
48.8%

Draw
25.4%

Gosport Borough
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

24.7%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

24.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Havant & Waterlooville's performance.

Gosport Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gosport Borough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gosport Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Havant & Waterlooville - Gosport Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Whittingham A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Whittingham A. ⚽,
82', 3 - 0, Whittingham A. ⚽,
89', 4 - 0, Seager R. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Havant won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Havant is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Havant won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Havant won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Gosport	10	3	3	4	13:13	0	12
21	Havant & W	9	1	2	6	9:16	-7	5

Last Results with these Odds

Havant & Waterlooville - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 43.67%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
03.04.26	Hungerford Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Evesham United	6:1 ✺
21.03.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Berkhamsted	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Hanwell Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Farnham Town - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLTL
- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
03.04.26	Gosport Borough - Uxbridge	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Berkhamsted - Gosport Borough	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Gosport Borough - Poole Town	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Bracknell Town - Gosport Borough	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Gosport Borough - Sholing	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
26.12.25	Gosport Borough - Havant & Waterlooville	0:4
21.04.25	Gosport Borough - Havant & Waterlooville	1:2
26.12.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Gosport Borough	3:1
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Havant & Waterlooville - Gosport Borough	3:1
08.09.20	Gosport Borough - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0
English National League South
09.02.16	Havant & Waterlooville - Gosport Borough	1:3
26.12.15	Gosport Borough - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1

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