Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 38

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Hungerford Town		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.55	2.2
	2.89	3.7	2.13
	2.74	4.02	2.19	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.1
	2.76	3.58	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3)	3.65 ↓ (3.73)	2.16 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hungerford Town
32.8%

Draw
25%

Havant & Waterlooville
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

24.5%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

23.8%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Havant & Waterlooville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Hungerford Town - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Maloney L. ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 2, Taylor F. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hungerford won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hungerford won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:24. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hungerford won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	Havant & W	10	1	2	7	12:22	-10	5

Last Results with these Odds

Havant & Waterlooville - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 44.99%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hungerford Town
English Southern League South Division
28.03.26	Tiverton Town - Hungerford Town	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Hungerford Town - Sholing	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Weymouth - Hungerford Town	4:0 ✺
07.03.26	Hungerford Town - Uxbridge	0:4 ✺
28.02.26	Plymouth Parkway - Hungerford Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTLLW
- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
28.03.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Evesham United	6:1 ✺
21.03.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Berkhamsted	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Hanwell Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Farnham Town - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Walton & Hersham	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
23.08.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Hungerford Town	1:2
01.02.25	Hungerford Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0
19.10.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Hungerford Town	0:0
English National League South
10.04.23	Hungerford Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1
14.09.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Hungerford Town	4:1
16.03.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Hungerford Town	4:0
26.10.21	Hungerford Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1

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