Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 25

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Havant & Waterlooville		Sholing

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.55	3.7
	1.8	3.93	3.85	Watch
	1.8	3.3	3.7
	1.83	3.6	3.61
	1.76	3.66	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.37)	3.61 ↓ (3.77)	3.77 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havant & Waterlooville
50.7%

Draw
25.2%

Sholing
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

24.6%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

24.9%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Havant & Waterlooville's performance.

Sholing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sholing might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Havant & Waterlooville that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sholing than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sholing could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Havant & Waterlooville - Sholing Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Havant (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Havant (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, McCarthy J. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Thorpe H. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Seager R. ⚽,
45', 3 - 1, Maloney L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 3 - 2, McCarthy J. ⚽,
73', 3 - 3, McCarthy J. ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 3, Milner-Smith G. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 6).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Sholing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Havant could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Havant won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 2.7:3).

Including home match between the teams, Havant won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Sholing: 1.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Sholing	8	3	1	4	9:12	-3	10
21	Havant & W	9	1	2	6	9:16	-7	5

Last Results with these Odds

Havant & Waterlooville - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.2%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
26.12.25	Gosport Borough - Havant & Waterlooville	0:4 ✺
20.12.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Wimborne Town	4:0 ✺
13.12.25	Yate Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Poole Town	0:3 ✺
26.11.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Chertsey Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWLT
- Sholing
English Southern League South Division
27.12.25	Sholing - Basingstoke Town	1:4 ✺
20.12.25	Poole Town - Sholing	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Sholing - Dorchester Town	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Wimborne Town - Sholing	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Sholing - Evesham United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
25.08.25	Sholing - Havant & Waterlooville	3:3
08.03.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Sholing	4:1
28.09.24	Sholing - Havant & Waterlooville	5:1

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