Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 22

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Sholing		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.6
	1.87	3.53	3.7
	1.86	3.79	3.71	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.5
	1.84	3.42	3.77
	1.87	3.6	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.76)	3.52 ↓ (3.69)	3.65 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sholing
49.1%

Draw
25.9%

Dorchester Town
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

24.7%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

24.3%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sholing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sholing than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Sholing - Dorchester Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Crosbie J. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Targett B. ⚽,
45+5', 2 - 1, Higgs T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 15).

Sholing is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dorchester has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sholing will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sholing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sholing won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sholing
English Southern League South Division
06.12.25	Wimborne Town - Sholing	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Sholing - Evesham United	3:0 ✺
25.11.25	Uxbridge - Sholing	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Plymouth Parkway - Sholing	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Berkhamsted - Sholing	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWTT
- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
06.12.25	Dorchester Town - Hungerford Town	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Dorchester Town - Gosport Borough	2:2 ✺
26.11.25	Taunton Town - Dorchester Town	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Evesham United - Dorchester Town	4:1 ✺
18.11.25	Dorchester Town - Plymouth Parkway	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
25.01.25	Dorchester Town - Sholing	1:1
15.10.24	Sholing - Dorchester Town	1:5
09.04.24	Sholing - Dorchester Town	1:2
24.10.23	Dorchester Town - Sholing	1:2

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