Match Info

Date: 16 January 2021, Saturday


	Hawkes Bay United		Team Wellington

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.25	4.6	1.42
	4.75	3.95	1.45
	5.6	4.8	1.42
	5.85	5.28	1.43
	5.8	4.6	1.4
	5.85	4.95	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.52 ↑ (5.21)	4.7 ↑ (4.6)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawkes Bay United
16.5%

Draw
19.4%

Team Wellington
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

19.7%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

11.5%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawkes Bay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Team Wellington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawkes Bay United than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hawkes Bay United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Team Wellington than the current prediction. (-27.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Team Wellington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hawkes Bay United - Team Wellington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Football Championship (Play Offs)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Team Wellington is a favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Hawke's Bay United won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 33-52.

Including matches at home between the teams Hawke's Bay United won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-24.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawkes Bay United
New Zealand Premiership
09.01.21	Eastern Suburbs - Hawkes Bay United	1:2 ✺
19.12.20	Hawkes Bay United - Waitakere United	2:0 ✺
11.12.20	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Hawkes Bay United	3:0 ✺
05.12.20	Hawkes Bay United - Canterbury United	0:3 ✺
28.11.20	Auckland City - Hawkes Bay United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WWLLL
- Team Wellington
New Zealand Premiership
09.01.21	Hamilton Academical - Team Wellington	1:1 ✺
18.12.20	Team Wellington - Canterbury United	3:1 ✺
12.12.20	Eastern Suburbs - Team Wellington	1:1 ✺
05.12.20	Team Wellington - Auckland City	2:2 ✺
27.11.20	Waitakere United - Team Wellington	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Premiership
20.11.20	Team Wellington - Hawkes Bay United	2:1
11.01.20	Team Wellington - Hawkes Bay United	4:0
02.02.19	Hawkes Bay United - Team Wellington	3:6
17.11.18	Team Wellington - Hawkes Bay United	2:2
20.01.18	Team Wellington - Hawkes Bay United	2:1
04.11.17	Hawkes Bay United - Team Wellington	1:1
21.01.17	Team Wellington - Hawkes Bay United	3:3

Hawkes Bay United - Team Wellington: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide